Inside Mark Carney’s 8-Point Drop and the Great Media Cover-Up
As Abacus Data reveals an 8-point plunge for the Prime Minister, CBC scrambles—while Ottawa’s favourite banker flies to Europe ahead of the CUSMA review July 1st
The Abacus Data: The Rise of the “Neither” Column
We always tell you to take polling data with a grain of salt. A poll is just a snapshot in time, often warped by the political leanings of the firms running the numbers. But when a trend line changes as drastically as this one did over the weekend, you have to lean in and pay attention.
Abacus Data just confirmed what Leger hinted at last week: Mark Carney’s political floor is giving way. Just one month ago, Carney was sitting on a relatively comfortable 29% approval rating in the Abacus tracking pools. Today? He has plummeted a staggering eight points down to 21%. His negative sentiment is up 4%, while his positive indicators have evaporated by 7%.
The real story isn’t just the drop; it’s where those voters are hiding. The “Neither Approve nor Disapprove” column has swelled to an unheard-of 16%. Normally, that fence-sitting category hovers around 8% on a high end. What this tells us is that Canadians are experiencing intense cognitive dissonance. They can see and feel the economic ruin around them, but they aren’t emotionally ready to throw the towel in on Carney just yet because they bought into the “central banker saviour” hype. They are parked in the “Neither” lot, waiting for the final push.
And look at the macro numbers tracking the direction of the country. A definitive 45% of Canadians now believe Canada is on the wrong track, compared to just 40% who say the right track.
When you ask Canadians what actually keeps them awake at night, the results completely destroy the PMO’s communication strategy:
Rising Cost of Living: 66% (A massive, unifying supermajority)
The Economy General: 39%
Healthcare System Decay: 34%
Housing Affordability: 33%
Donald Trump: 32%
The Liberals have spent millions trying to make the entire country terrified of Trump. But regular Canadians don’t care about him; they care about how they’re going to survive.
The Semantic Gymnastics of the CBC
Because the numbers are so devastating, the state broadcaster had to pull out the big guns on Power & Politics with David Cochrane. The narrative they pushed out was pure gaslighting: Don’t believe your lying eyes, Canada. It’s not a real recession.
Suddenly, the legacy media is inventing brand-new qualifiers. It’s a “technical” recession, a “shallow” recession, a “temporary blip.” Let’s be clear: the term “technical recession” didn’t come from StatsCan. It was used by mainstream outlets to cushion Carney’s reputation.
To back up this narrative, Cochrane eagerly touted Friday’s jobs report, shouting from the rooftops that Canada added 88,000 jobs in May, dropping unemployment down to 6.6%. But let’s look at what those jobs actually are. Over 32,000 of those positions were temporary government hires for census data tracking, while another massive chunk consisted of short-term seasonal service jobs manufactured for the upcoming FIFA World Cup.
I know it’s not an exact 1-to-1 comparison due to the formulas they use, but it plays a huge role. It is an entirely artificial, government-juiced mirage designed to mask the fact that our organic, private-sector economy has been completely flatlining for the last two years.
The Pundit Class and the Art of Stat-Padding
Watching the CBC panel try to defend this mess was downright hilarious. They brought on “tribal conservative” Fred Delorey to wag his finger at Pierre Poilievre, claiming that screaming about a recession three years before an election is “dangerous politics.” Three years? Fred clearly isn’t watching the system fracture in real-time. This minority-majority coalition is on life support; this election is coming much sooner than three years, and you can quote me on that.
Then you have Kory Teneycke, fresh off managing a spectacular electoral collapse in British Columbia, lecturing the Conservatives on tone, claiming Poilievre looks like the “a-hole-in-chief.”
I love taking political advice from a guy who went into the BC election with a cushy lead optically with a star candidate like Caroline Elliott, massive backing, and a bottomless war chest, and still managed to lose to a grassroots candidate that was polling in the single digits just weeks prior.
The most damning indictment of Mark Carney’s leadership is his complete lack of skin in the game. We are less than three weeks away from the most critical CUSMA (USMCA) free trade review in our nation’s history. Sectoral tariffs are already gutting our industrial base, and the U.S. successfully investigated our supply chains under Section 301 and discovering the existence of forced labour.
So, where is our Prime Minister? Is he in Washington, D.C., working the phones and protecting Canadian workers?
No. He jetted off to France and Ireland to “deepen ties.”
Watch the full episode here: